TrumptyDumpty

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TrumptyDumpty (TrumpyDumpy) is specific kind of corruption and fraud characterized in that that for trumping of colleagues and winning on the price changes, the fraudsters intentionally cause rapid variation of prices, for example, at the stocks market (pump and dump) and use the insider information for the insider trading.

TrumptyDumpty may include 3 components:
1. Pump and dump, intestinal misinformation of the society with a priori wrong forecasts, propaganda, see Newspeak.
2. Issue a decree on tariffs, embargo, taxation, etc., that look idiotic form the point of view of prosperity of a region, city, state, country, but affect the prices.
3. Spread the insider information about prepared action among the accomplices for the insider trading.

In many countries, the TrumptyDumpty is illegal and mentioned in the penal code.

In conditions of high corruption, the TrumptyDumpty looks as a way to fast richness, to usurpation and perhaps to collapse of a country. TrumptyDumpty can be considered as a mechanism of history that causes the collapse of an empire.

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1.2 ton of dollars of Russian offee, 2016

Moscovia, 1990-2020

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About communists, 1959

In 1990s, at the Collapse of the USSR and creation of the Russian Federation, the trading becomes legal.

Bolsheviks changed they official ideology from apology of communism to that of capitalism. In order to legalize the treasure they had robed during the USSR, the top Russian offees, having insider information about devaluation of ruble, got huge loans from the Central bank of RF. The sagest way to use these money was to convert then to currency of civilized countries; mainly into the USA dollars.

After the devaluation of ruble, the small amount of those dollars happen to be sufficient to pay the debts. Hundreds Russian offees became billionaires; gradually, they legalize their treasures, see КГБ во власти и бизнесе (in Russian).

Russians offee have accumulated tons of dollars in their stashes. Sometimes some information about the struggle for these stashes appear in publications.

However, the offees of Moscovia have no money for the people of their country nor for the people of the «new territories» they have plunder from neighbor countries during the Putin world war, see «Денег нет» (in Russian).

In Moscovia, the TrumptyDumpty happen to be extremely efficient: The ruble savings of population were de-facto plundered, ruined.

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value of 100ruble and 4 sets of fits [1]

In year 2014, on the background of sooth devaluation of fable, the strong osvillationd are observed, that greatly exceeded the usual figgerence between the cell/buy prices typical for the money change, and during few months, all the changemoneyers together were not be able to smooth the oscillations [1].
The typical scale of the oscillations happened to be of order of 15 days.
The Russian Propaganda often had published fakes about expecting growth of value of ruble, misinforming the population. It looks as the Russia Central Bank, in cooperation with media of mass propaganda, intentionally caused the strong oscillation of course if ruble (Pump and dump) in order to perform the insider trading; those who know the next step of the Cental Bank could get some hundred percent of interest during a year. The simple interpretation of that phenomenon is that the Russian offees perform the TrumptyDumpty, laundering of money plundered from Ukraine at the Annexation of Crimea with help of Yanukovich Viktor Fedorovich (Янукович Виктор Федорович).
After a month since the publication [1] appeared, the oscillations of course of ruble were smoothed; since that, during several years, the ruble oscillates mainly between one and two USA cents. However, that can be interpreted as just a coincidence.
After few years the fraudsters repeat the similar TrumptyDumpty at much larger scale, playing with tariffs and prices at the stockes market. I tis described in the following section.

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USA, 2025

In years 2024-2025, at the USA, Donald Trump performs the TrumptyDumpty.

In year 2024, Donald Trump promises to Make America Great Again, to Stop war in 24 hours, to boost economics, etc.

This propaganda causes increase of prices at the stock market.
It is the «trumpy» stage of the fraud.
Friends and accomplices of Donald Trump perform the insider trading selling the stocks.

Since year 2025, Donald Trump begin the trade war, and menaces to begin the real hot war for annexation of Greenland and annexation of Canada, see «Donroe Doctrine». The stokes drop down. This is «dumpty» stage of the fraud. The accomplices of Trump perform the insider trading, they buy the cheap stokes.

2205.04.09, Trump announces the «three-month pause on all the “reciprocal” tariffs» [2][3], and the stokes partially recover. This is again Trumpy stage. The accomplishes of Trump perform the insider trading selling the stokes.

At the beginning of year 2025, within few months, Donald Trump and his accomplices win a lot of money with the tariffs [4]
To 2025.04.10, Donald Trump and his accomplices are estimated to earn up to 100 gigadollars from the TrumptyDumpty affair with the tariffs [5][6].

This is simplified description. The economists may indicate many over ways Donald Trump affects the prices; for example, blocking delivery of the USA help to Ukraine, performing sabotage of the USA duties on Budapest memorandum, dealing with migrants, etc. Some of them can be interpreted as a complot with Russian and Chinese leaders, allowing interpretation of Trump as KGB agent.

In other words, Trump shakes the stock market as a bear shakes an apple tree to make apples to fall down. To year 2025, in the USA, the administration seems to be already corrupted; so, no way is seen to stop the TrumptyDumpty until the USA collapse.

Corruption and Duration

The efficient TrumptyDumpty implies the corruption. Over-wice, the president who performs the TrumptyDumpty would be impeached, arrested and sentenced for such a fraud.

The Fuhrer and his accomplices may get huge money with the TrumptyDumpty and the insider trading (for example if they know, when the Fuhrer will begin the big war or prohibit or allow some kind of activity); but the cruel judges seem to provide kryshevanie of this activity.

The progressive corruption leads to usurpation and may cause the collapse. The statistical model «Duration» suggests the quantitative estimate for the time interval when such a collapse may happen.

At high level of corruption, the TrumptyDumpty cannot be stopped with police and judges. Then, the TrumptyDumpty appears as a channel of collapse of an aggressive and corrupted empire, see «Mechanisms of history».

Gallery

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Warning

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Approoved Meeting, 2017

Publications with evidences of the TrumptyDumpty scheme are collected and analyzed in TORI with scientific goals.

The analysis is not a suggestion about better rearrangement of a society nor a recommendation how to convince the police and judges to arrest and to sentence the fraudsters who perform the TrumptyDumpty.

The interpretation is not an appeal to extrajudicial execution of offees tho are believed to perform the TrumptyDumpty and kryshevanie of this activity. Editor does not participate in a partizan war and cannot call on contemporaries to take such actions. Other methods (such a protests) seem to be not efficient, see picture at right.

However, Editor keeps his right (and even duty) to call things with their proper names, to suggest definitions for euphemisms and other ambiguous terms, to construct historic models and to compare their predictions to a posteriori observations.

References

  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 http://mizugadro.mydns.jp/PAPERS/2015ruble.pdf Dmitrii Kouznetsov. Currency band and the approximations: Fitting of rouble with 3-parametric functions. Applied Mathematical Sciences, Vol. 9, 2015, no. 17, 831 - 838 HIKARI Ltd, www.m-hikari.com http://dx.doi.org/10.12988/ams.2015.4121056
  2. https://edition.cnn.com/2025/04/09/business/reciprocal-tariff-pause-trump/index.html ‘reciprocal’ tariffs with exception of China By Elisabeth Buchwald and Kevin Liptak, CNN Updated 5:14 PM EDT, Wed April 9, 2025 President Donald Trump announced a complete three-month pause on all the “reciprocal” tariffs that went into effect at midnight, with the exception of China, a stunning reversal from a president who had insisted historically high tariffs were here to stay.
  3. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cz95589ey9yo Ben Chu. What does Trump's tariff pause mean for global trade? 2025.04.10. There has been a historic upheaval in American trade policy. The announcement of Donald Trump's so-called "reciprocal tariffs" on 2 April - what he called "liberation day" - sent a shockwave through the global trading system and financial markets. And the President's 90-day pause on some of these tariffs on 9 April set off a relief rally in stock markets.
  4. https://newrepublic.com/post/193860/donald-trump-brags-tariff-pause-made-billionaires-richer Edith Olmsted April 10, 2025/11:50 a.m. ET Trump Brags About How Tariff Pause Made His Friends Even Richer.
  5. https://www.vox.com/politics/407588/stock-market-retirement-401k-trump-tariffs The real losers from Trump’s stock crash, explained in 2 charts // It’s not just the wealthy. by Nicole Narea Updated Apr 9, 2025, 2:20 PM UTC // Traders On The Floor Of The NYSE As US Stocks Set For Further Plunge On Tariff Turmoil The US stock market has lost trillions of dollars in value in the days since President Donald Trump announced major tariffs on American imports.
  6. https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Markets/Trump-tariffs-drag-global-stocks-down-10-in-broad-retreat KONATSU OCHI April 10, 2025 02:03 JST TOKYO -- Global stock markets lost over $12 trillion in value -- roughly a tenth of the total -- in the wake of U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement of sweeping tariffs last week, a broad-based slump that spanned tech, finance and consumer staples. // Total global market capitalization stood at $107 trillion as of Monday, down from $120 trillion on April 2 before Trump's announcement, according to data from QUICK-FactSet.

2025.04.07. https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/15700815 U.S. tariffs will lead to global economic slowdown THE ASSOCIATED PRESS April 7, 2025 at 19:00 JST // FRANKFURT--Global stock markets extended a severe plunge Monday, fueled by fears that U.S. tariffs would lead to a global economic slowdown. European and Asian shares saw dramatic losses, the leading U.S. index flirted with bear market territory in pre-market trading, and oil prices sagged. // The massive sell-off in riskier assets at the start of the trading week follows President Donald Trump's announcement of sharply higher U.S. import taxes and retaliation from China that saw markets fall sharply Thursday and Friday. // Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 index lost nearly 8% shortly after the market opened and futures trading for the benchmark was briefly suspended. It closed down 7.8% at 31,136.58. // European shares followed Asian markets lower, led by Germany's DAX index, which briefly fell more than 10% at the open on the Frankfurt exchange, but recovered some ground to move down 5.8% in morning trading. In Paris, the CAC 40 shed 5.8%, while Britain's FTSE 100 lost 4.9% in the European morning.

2025.04.10. https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Markets/Trump-tariffs-drag-global-stocks-down-10-in-broad-retreat KONATSU OCHI April 10, 2025 02:03 JST TOKYO -- Global stock markets lost over $12 trillion in value -- roughly a tenth of the total -- in the wake of U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement of sweeping tariffs last week, a broad-based slump that spanned tech, finance and consumer staples. // Total global market capitalization stood at $107 trillion as of Monday, down from $120 trillion on April 2 before Trump's announcement, according to data from QUICK-FactSet.